Dr. Anthony Fauci finally gives the Americans good news. America’s leading infectious disease doctor predicts a “real change, the beginning of a steep decline” in new daily COVID-19 infections after US adults vaccinated against the virus reach nearly 40 percent.
“If you do that, people will be able to do the things they long for,” said Dr. Fauci in an interview with the Wall Street Journal.
As of Thursday, nearly 38 percent of American adults ages 18 and older are fully vaccinated against COVID-19.
Data from around the world shows that once 40 percent of the population is covered in vaccines, daily cases drop dramatically, according to a Bloomberg analysis. The pattern has emerged in San Marino, the United Arab Emirates, and Israel.
In the United States, there are early signs that vaccinations are turning the tide. After weeks of hovering around 70,000 cases per day, the U.S. is now seeing an average of 52,522 new infections per day – a 26 percent decrease from two weeks earlier.
But vaccinations have stalled and the number of daily deaths has been erratic for the past few weeks. On Wednesday, nearly 950 Americans died of COVID-19, bringing the 7-day moving average of deaths to about 704. By comparison, there were 474 deaths on Monday, according to Johns Hopkins University.
Dr. Anthony Fauci finally gives the Americans good news. America’s leading infectious disease doctor predicts a “real change, the beginning of a steep decline” in new daily COVID-19 infections as the percentage of adults vaccinated against the virus in the US is close to 40 percent (Dr. Fauci, left, is pictured with) Vice President Kamala Harris, right; File)
After keeping daily vaccinations consistently above three million shots per day between April 3 and April 21 in the US, they have fallen to an average of 2.67 million.
It remains to be seen whether the encouraging declines in daily infections will also weaken.
Approximately 98 million Americans are fully vaccinated.
Dr. However, Fauci also pointed out that an even larger proportion of people should now have some immunity to coronavirus.
According to the Johns Hopkins University, more than 32 million Americans are infected with coronavirus, although the actual total exposure is likely much higher.
Depending on when they got infected, they most likely still have some protection from antibodies produced in response to the coronavirus.
However, there is likely some overlap between those who are vaccinated and those who have already had COVID-19.
And the US has now probably vaccinated most of the American population who are not only ready but ready to receive COVID-19 shots.
The slowdown in vaccinations is not due to a lack of supply, but rather to a sharp drop in demand.
Health officials and experts in states with significant drops in daily vaccinations fear that ending the COVID-19 pandemic by achieving herd immunity will be challenging unless states can convince more residents to receive the vaccine.
A block of eight southern states have lagged behind the pace of vaccine adoption and are four to ten percent below the national average of vaccinated residents after weeks of struggling to meet vaccine appointments.
Arkansas, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia are each in last place among American states in terms of percentage of vaccine allocations used to date, according to the New York Times.
Each percentage of doses used falls in the bottom 13 states, with Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Georgia making up the bottom four.
Louisiana, in particular, has had a hard time finding buyers for its vaccines, as initial dose registrations have declined for five consecutive weeks. A federal vaccination center in Baton Rouge is unable to reach five percent of capacity on a few days, according to a report by the New Orleans Advocate.
Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana are the only three states where at least a third of residents haven’t received their first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.
All of the states in the bloc – with the exception of North Carolina – are among the eleven states where less than 37 percent of the population received at least one shot (39 percent of North Carolinians received their first dose). The national average is 43 percent.
Dr. Lisa Piercy, commissioner for the Tennessee Department of Health, told WKRN the trend on Tuesday was “worrying” as her department steps up efforts to get more vaccinations against Tennessee people.
The hesitation of the vaccine has been cited as the reason for the decline by experts in the states.
There are numerous reasons for vaccine hesitation in the US, including concerns about the hasty development of the vaccine, unknown side effects, conspiracy theories related to the vaccines, or even that some Americans just don’t see COVID-19 as a major problem.
March data from the Kaiser Family Foundation shows that many who are a little skeptical of the vaccine and have responded that they would wait and see how others react to the vaccine before receiving it themselves are likely to either receive the vaccine or say they will get it as soon as you can.
However, those who are most skeptical seem to be moving less. The number of Americans who say they either “definitely won’t” or will only get the vaccine when needed has remained roughly the same since the vaccine first became available in December.
Polls by Civiqs on April 27 show that half of Americans who have not yet been vaccinated say they definitely don’t plan on not getting the vaccine, with a small group still unsafe.
Hesitation about vaccinations has eased slightly over the past four months, but 20% of Americans still say they won’t get a COVID-19 vaccine unless it’s necessary or not at all (green)
While reluctance to receive the vaccine can manifest itself for a variety of reasons, certain populations are more reluctant to receive the vaccine than others.
Americans without a college degree are less likely to receive the vaccine than their college-aged peers. Fewer have received the vaccine so far and more say they will not receive it when it becomes available.
Almost half of Republicans also don’t plan on receiving the vaccine, according to the Civiqs poll, a larger proportion than the amount vaccinated so far.
White Evangelical Americans, who largely join the Republican Party, are also the least likely religious group to receive the COVID-19 vaccine. A poll conducted by the Pew Research Center in February found that 45 percent of white evangelicals were not planning on getting vaccinated.
The eight states contain groups who most likely don’t want the COVID-19 vaccine.
According to the 2020 U.S. Census, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Kentucky are among the five states with the lowest percentage of the population over 25 with a bachelor’s degree.
In states with large evangelical Christian populations (darker blue) the rate of vaccine delays is higher. In these states, vaccination rates are also lower
Alabama (8th least), Tennessee (11th), and South Carolina (16th) are each among the lowest on the week. North Carolina and Georgia average, with nearly a third of the state’s residents having college degrees.
This area of the country is also a republican stronghold. Donald Trump won everyone but Georgia in the 2020 presidential election, with Joe Biden gaining 11,000 votes in Peach State – only the second time in 40 years that a Democrat has won the state in a presidential election.
Trump carried each of the states he won by at least 10 percentage points – except North Carolina, where he won with 100,000 votes.
The strongest correlation between vaccine reluctance is seen in the large evangelical population in the eight states. According to the 2014 Pew Research Center, a large proportion of the US evangelicals live in the southern US.
Tennessee (52 percent of the population identify as Protestant) is the only state in the nation where more than half the population identifies as Protestant. Alabama (49 percent), Arkansas (46 percent) and Mississippi (41 percent) are also among the states with the largest proportion of the Protestant population in the country.
Louisiana (27 percent) does not have a large Protestant population compared to its counterparts.
While these states may struggle to get their residents vaccinated, their stagnant vaccination rates have not yet resulted in an increase in new infections.
None of the eight states are among the highest in terms of new cases every day. None of them have seen any spikes since vaccination rates began to decline in some cases. All reported consistently low numbers in April.
States like Minnesota and Maine, which are among the leading countries in the country for using most of their allotted vaccine doses, have seen big spikes this month despite more successful vaccine distribution.
Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Louisiana are among the leaders with the lowest daily case rate in recent days. Alabama and Louisiana have even lifted their mask mandates in recent weeks due to lower case numbers, without a significant increase in cases since the decisions.